Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, Vol. 14, Iss. 3, Jul, 2010, pp. 317-342 @2010 Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology & Life Sciences The Global Financial Crisis and the Great Recession of 2007-2009 Abstract: This paper is a re-examination of the global financial crisis
that began in 2007 and was accompanied by the most severe recession
since the Great Depression. It builds on our earlier paper (Dore and
Singh, 2009) and expands its scope. It is divided into 6 parts. The
first part deals with the ideological backdrop in which this crisis
occurred, namely the belief in the rationality and stability of all
markets including the capital markets, called the efficient market
hypothesis. The second part is a survey of the role of income
distribution and its relations to aggregate spending and the growing
role played by credit in the circular flow of income. The third part
examines some features of the business cycle expansion phase of 2001
to 2007. The fourth part is a brief report on a nonlinear Vector Error
Correction model spanning the period 1975 to 2007 and how this expansion
came to an end. The fifth part is a brief comparison of the Great Recession
with the Great Depression. Finally in the sixth part, the international
impact of the Great Recession is considered briefly, followed by some
conclusions. Keywords: financial crisis, deregulation, credit, VAR, vector error correction, Great Depression, global impact |