Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, Vol. 8, Iss. 3, Jul, 2004, pp. 345-374 @2004 Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology & Life Sciences Coordination Learning in Stag Hunt Games with Application to Emergency Management Abstract: Response teams for natural disaster emergencies require
coordinated and self-organized efforts for rescue, medical services,
damage containment, and evacuation. The unfolding of events depends
on initial conditions of specific time, location, and preparedness
of the response teams. This study considered a new range of
emergency response situations where the perpetrator is a sentient
attacker that learns with repeated exchanges. The strategy is
conceptualized as a stag hunt coordination game on the part of the
defense agents and a strictly competitive game with respect to the
attacking adversary. Participants were 28 university students who
played an iterative board game (The Creature that Ate Sheboygan)
wherein a team of three Humans represented military and civil
resources, against one Godzilla-type monster. The Monster gained
points by destroying buildings and human combat power. The Humans
gained points by wearing down the Monster s defenses and containing
damage caused by the Monster. Experimental manipulations and
empirical analysis showed the following: Communication outages
among the Humans assisted the Monster, but the ability to communicate
only equalized the Humans chances rather than providing them with an
advantage. Coordination among Humans was instant, but it fluctuated
greatly as a result of the Monster s progress. Nonlinear analysis
showed an asymptotic decline in coordination to a non-zero level in
response to outcome uncertainty. Learning effects were noted for
Humans and Monsters, but there were significant interactions with
communication blackout conditions Keywords: stag hunt, cooperation, emergency management, game theory, attractor |